Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 17

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Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 17

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025

180 
WTNT24 KNHC 302038
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
2100 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  75.5W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 300SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  75.5W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  76.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 30.0N  73.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.2N  68.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 140SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.8N  63.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 150SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.9N  56.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 230SE 200SW 290NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 38.0N  51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 230SE 200SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 40.4N  49.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 45.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 52.5N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 250SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  75.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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