Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
184
FONT14 KNHC 290852
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0900 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NAPLES FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 74(74) 3(77) X(77)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 3(45) X(45)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 14 11(25) 6(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 60 3(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
ANDROS 34 7 3(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GREAT EXUMA 34 7 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SAN SALVADOR 34 12 5(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
