Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
800
FONT14 KNHC 290237
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0300 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
W PALM BEACH 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 53(71) 1(72)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) X(40)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 13 16(29) 9(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 52 3(55) 3(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
ANDROS 34 4 2( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GREAT EXUMA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN SALVADOR 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
