Potential Tropical Cyclone One Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2026

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FONT11 KNHC 162050
PWSAT1
                                                                    
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012026               
2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X  11(11)  10(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X  18(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34  4  17(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  5   8(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34 10   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
GFAM 270N 960W 34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE
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