Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 22

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Hurricane Imelda Forecast Advisory Number 22

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 02 2025

580 
WTNT24 KNHC 020248
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0300 UTC THU OCT 02 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  65.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  35SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......120NE 220SE 120SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  65.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  66.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.8N  60.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 45NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...195NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.2N  51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 180SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.6N  49.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE  70SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 230SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.4N  47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 210SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 44.5N  43.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 200SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 49.5N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 110SE 150SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 51.2N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  65.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
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