Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025
738
FONT14 KNHC 282048
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
2100 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
PATRICK AFB 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
W PALM BEACH 34 1 6( 7) 6(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
VENICE FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 56(58) 3(61)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 2(32)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 8 35(43) 5(48) 2(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 79 3(82) 1(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 5 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANDROS 34 31 1(32) 2(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
GREAT EXUMA 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
