Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025
000
FONT14 KNHC 280855
PWSAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0900 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) X(12)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 10(21) 10(31) 1(32) X(32)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 10(21) 10(31) X(31) X(31)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 9(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) 7(29) 1(30) X(30)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 5(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 25(26) 34(60) 3(63) 4(67) X(67) X(67)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 16 62(78) 2(80) 1(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X 15(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ANDROS 34 37 20(57) 2(59) X(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60)
ANDROS 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13)
SAN SALVADOR 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
